Financial price fluctuations in a stock market model with many interacting agents

نویسندگان

  • Ulrich Horst
  • Ching-Tang Wu
چکیده

We consider a financial market model with a large number of interacting agents. Investors are heterogeneous in their expectations about the future evolution of an asset price process. Their current expectation is based on the previous states of their “neighbors” and on a random signal about the “mood of the market.” We analyze the asymptotics of both aggregate behavior and asset prices. We give sufficient conditions for the distribution of equilibrium prices to converge to a unique equilibrium, and provide a microeconomic foundation for the use of diffusion models in the analysis of financial price fluctuations.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

The Impact of Financial Market Fluctuations on Financial Instability in the Iranian Economy: The Wavelet based Markov Switching Model

In this study, the effect of fluctuations of asset markets (exchange rate, oil price and stock market index) on financial instability index over a period of 1388-1397 monthly is investigated by using the Markov Switching model. The wavelet transform model is used to extract exchange rate fluctuations, oil prices and stock market index. The results show that the effect of exchange rate fluctuati...

متن کامل

مدلی ساده برای توضیح پویایی شاخص کل قیمت بازار سهام تهران

Modeling price fluctuations in financial markets is very important. We try to model price fluctuations in Tehran stock exchange using heterogeneous agents’ model.  We used agent-based computational approach. In this model, there are two kinds of agents, some agents have extrapolating expectations (chartists) and others have stabilizing or mean-reverting expectations (fundamentalists)...

متن کامل

Forecasting Stock Price using Hybrid Model based on Wavelet Transform in Tehran and New York Stock Market

Forecasting financial markets is an important issue in finance area and research studies. On one hand, the importance of prediction, and on the other hand, its complexity, have led to huge number of researches which have proposed many forecasting methods in this area. In this study, we propose a hybrid model including Wavelet Transform, ARMA-GARCH and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) for single-...

متن کامل

An interacting-agent model of financial markets from the viewpoint of nonextensive statistical mechanics

In this paper we present an interacting-agent model of stock markets. We describe a stock market through an Ising-like model in order to formulate the tendency of traders getting to be influenced by the other traders’ investment attitudes [1], and formulate the traders’ decision-making regarding investment as the maximum entropy principle for nonextensive entropy. We demonstrate that the equili...

متن کامل

Analytical Valuation of Contingent Claims by Stochastic Interacting Systems for Stock Market

In the present paper, by applying the theory of stochastic processes and interacting particle systems and models, including stopping time theory and stochastic voter model, we model a financial stock price model that contains two types of investors, and we use this financial model to describe the behavior and fluctuations of a stock price process in a stock market. In the financial model, besid...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2004